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ARTICLE - Pakistan Country Brief
Source : The World Bank Total Pages: 5
Pakistan has made significant development progress since its independence 58 years ago, as measured by some key social indicators. Health and education services have expanded and improved, and life expectancy has increased from 59 years in 1990 to 64 for males and 66 for females in 2003. Infant and maternal mortality rates have dropped, as have illiteracy rates.
During the 1990’s Pakistan made only modest progress in reducing poverty and improving the welfare of its people. Growth of real gross domestic product (GDP) slowed to less than 4 percent and per capita real income grew by only slightly more than 1 percent per year, leading to an increase in poverty to 32 percent. Social indicators stagnated. For example, the net primary enrollment rate declined from 46 percent in 1991/92 to 42 percent in 2001/02, with male enrollments declining from 53 percent to 46 percent, and female from 39 percent to 38 percent. By the late-1990s, Pakistan was in a position of extreme vulnerability with high and unsustainable fiscal deficits and heavy debt burden, which squeezed public investment and social spending.
Beginning in 2000, the government initiated a wide-ranging and ambitious reform program, which has resulted in a dramatic turnaround. Pakistan has turned around a deteriorating macroeconomic situation to a rapidly improving one. In 2004/05, GDP grew by over 8 percent. These macroeconomic achievements have allowed the country to achieve fiscal consolidation. Both external and internal balances have strengthened and reserves now cover five months of imports. Public debt has fallen to 60 percent of GDP from almost 90 percent in 2000/01. Social and poverty-related expenditures have been raised from 3.8 percent of GDP in 2001/02 to 4.7 percent of GDP in 2003/04. The government has also launched far-reaching structural reforms to privatize public sector enterprises, strengthen public and corporate governance, liberalize external trade, and reform the banking sector.
There are now indications that these reforms have begun to pay off in the form of improved development outcomes. Based on the recently released Pakistan Social and Living Standards Measurement Survey (PSLSMS), literacy rates of population 10 years and older have increased to 53 percent as compared to 45 percent in 2001/02. While both female and male literacy, at 40 percent and 65 percent respectively have increased, the gender gap has not shown any significant reduction. However, despite these favorable developments, formidable challenges remain. Pakistan’s social indicators still lag behind countries with comparable per capita incomes.
DEVELOPMENT CHALLENGES
Poverty remains a serious concern in Pakistan. According to the rebased GDP numbers, the per capita income comes to US$720; poverty rates, which had fallen substantially in the 1980s and early 1990s, started to rise again towards the end of the decade. Though complete data from the recent Integrated Household Survey is not yet available, it is evident that a large segment of the population lives in poverty. More importantly, differences in income per capita across regions have persisted or widened. Poverty varies significantly among rural and urban areas and from province to province, from a low of 24 percent in urban Sindh to 51 percent in rural Sindh.
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